QUAIL HILL

Oct 092012
 
Reflating the housing bubble may deny home ownership to the middle class

Super low interest rates have allowed today’s homebuyers to bid home prices up near peak levels in many areas. This helps lenders recover more capital from the bad loans they made during the housing bubble, which is why the federal reserve is intent on driving mortgage interest rates even lower. As a result of all this artificial stimulus, price-to-income ratios have remained elevated far above historic norms. Unless interest rates are going to remain this low forever, one of three things must happen: either house prices must go down further, debt-to-income ratios must increase, or wages must go up. Higher debt-to-income ratios proved disastrous because borrowers cannot sustain the payments, so that outcome isn’t likely. Since the federal reserve will [Read More...]

Sep 242012
 
Government policy may cause a credit crunch in 2013

To understand the credit crunch, and why we might have another one, I have a visualization exercise for you that I originally posted back in 2007: Imagine a room with 100 people representing the pool of subprime borrowers. These are new entrants to the market. They were previously unable to buy due to bad credit, lack of savings, and other reasons. All of them are told they are going to bid on an asset that never goes down in value, and they will be given the ability to borrow unlimited funds (stated-income “liar loans”) The only caveat is the borrowed money must be paid back when the asset is sold (not that they care, they already have bad credit). Imagine [Read More...]

Jul 192012
 
Quail Hill rebounding but still 10% undervalued

Irvine: Quail Hill Overview Median home price is $537,000. Based on a rental parity value of $630,000, this market is fairly valued. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 4 month(s). Momentum suggests worsening affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $343/SF to $349/SF. Resale prices have been falling for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests falling prices over the next three months. Median rental rates declined $8 last month from $2,583 to $2,575. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 5 Proprietary Irvine Housing News home purchase analysis 59 REUNION Irvine, CA 92603 $489,000 …….. Asking Price $468,000 ………. Purchase Price 11/30/2009 ………. [Read More...]

Jul 052012
 
Quail Hill spring rally underway

Irvine: Quail Hill Overview Median home price is $571,000. Based on a rental parity value of $605,000, this market is under valued. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 2 month(s). Momentum suggests worsening affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $334/SF to $345/SF. Resale prices have been falling for 10 month(s). Price momentum suggests falling prices over the next three months. Median rental rates increased $8 last month from $2,532 to $2,540. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 6 Proprietary Irvine Housing News home purchase analysis 120 TREEHOUSE Irvine, CA 92603 $1,249,000 …….. Asking Price $760,500 ………. Purchase Price 3/15/2004 ………. [Read More...]

May 292012
 
Quail Hill prices spike higher

Irvine: Quail Hill Overview Median home price is $587,000. Based on a rental parity value of $604,000, this market is fairly valued. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 4 month(s). Momentum suggests worsening affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased to $324/SF to $348/SF. Resale prices have been falling for 11 month(s). Price momentum suggests falling prices over the next three months. Median rental rates increased $83 last month from $2,450 to $2,533. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 5 Proprietary Irvine Housing News home purchase analysis 91 DUET Irvine, CA 92603  $390,000 …….. Asking Price $533,000 ………. Purchase Price 4/12/2005 ………. [Read More...]

Apr 022012
 
Quail Hill prices down 7.8%

Irvine: Quail Hill Overview Median home price is $508,000. Based on a rental parity value of $580,000, this market is under valued. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 2 month(s). Momentum suggests worsening affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis declined from $342/SF to $329/SF. Resale prices have been falling for 9 month(s). Price momentum suggests falling prices over the next three months. Median rental rates declined $98 last month from $2,548 to $2,450. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 6 Proprietary Irvine Housing News home purchase analysis 314 QUAIL Rdg Irvine, CA 92603 $389,900 …….. Asking Price $503,500 ………. Purchase Price 6/14/2006 [Read More...]

Mar 252012
 
Quail Hill is affordable relative to rents

Irvine: Quail Hill Overview Median home price is $508,000. Based on a rental parity value of $580,000, this market is under valued. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 2 month(s). Momentum suggests worsening affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis declined from $342/SF to $329/SF. Resale prices have been falling for 9 month(s). Price momentum suggests falling prices over the next three months. Median rental rates declined $98 last month from $2,548 to $2,450. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 6 Proprietary Irvine Housing News home purchase analysis 111 LATTICE Irvine, CA 92603  $1,088,000 …….. Asking Price $985,000 ………. Purchase Price 11/24/2004 ………. [Read More...]

Mar 242012
 
What’s really going on in the Irvine housing market? 3-24-2012

The Irvine Housing News profiles properties for sale each day and presents current market data on each village and neighborhood. If you really want to know what’s happening in the Irvine Housing market, you need to read the Irvine Housing news and subscribe to the our monthly newsletter. Redfin is the most popular real estate search site in Southern California. They track the most popular listings based on the number of views each receives. Below are some of the most viewed property listings in Irvine. Check them out. See what everyone else finds so interesting. 12 INGLESIDE Irvine, CA 92620 — $994,000 $999,000 241 VINTAGE 0.02 miles 4 bd / 3.5 ba 2,742 Sq. Ft. $979,000 23 CHIMNEY ROCK 0.17 [Read More...]

Mar 162012
 
Quail Hill is becoming affordable relative to rents

Irvine: Quail Hill Overview Median home price is $508,000. Based on a rental parity value of $580,000, this market is under valued. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 2 month(s). Momentum suggests worsening affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis declined from $342/SF to $329/SF. Resale prices have been falling for 9 month(s). Price momentum suggests falling prices over the next three months. Median rental rates declined $98 last month from $2,548 to $2,450. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum suggests rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 6 Proprietary Irvine Housing News home purchase analysis 134 TREEHOUSE Irvine, CA 92603 $1,175,000 …….. Asking Price $1,100,000 ………. Purchase Price 7/14/2005 ………. [Read More...]

Feb 242012
 
Quail Hill prices weak but rents rising

Despite being a bubble-era village, Quail Hill has not experienced the distress showing up in Woodbury. Today’s featured property is only price 26% off the peak. Will Quail Hill retain more value than communities like Woodbury. So far it has, but only time will tell if the substitution effect doesn’t entice buyers away from overpriced properties like these. – —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- — ————————————————————————————————————————————- Proprietary Irvine Housing News [Read More...]